
MOST OF THE oil in Kerala is pressed from coconuts. Yet the southern Indian state, famed for idyllic backwaters(回水区), fragrant cuisine and an easy-going lifestyle, owes much of its prosperity to(将其繁荣在很大程度上归功于) barrels of the foul-smelling crude(恶臭的原油) that comes bubbling out of the ground in the Persian Gulf and, normally, is shipped through the Strait of Hormuz(①霍尔木兹海峡位于波斯湾与阿曼湾之间,是...). Ever since the Middle East oil boom began half a century ago Keralites have been heading there to work, first as cleaners and construction workers, then as clerks, nurses and salespeople. An estimated 1.7m of them live in the Gulf, equal to 5% of the state’s population and close to 11% of its workforce.
喀拉拉邦的大部分油是从椰子中榨取的。然而,这个以田园般的回水、芬芳的美食和悠闲的生活方式而闻名的印度南部邦,其繁荣很大程度上归功于波斯湾地下冒出的、通常通过霍尔木兹海峡运输的一桶桶恶臭原油。自半个世纪前中东石油繁荣开始以来,喀拉拉人一直前往那里工作,最初是清洁工和建筑工人,后来是职员、护士和销售人员。据估计,其中有170万人生活在海湾地区,相当于该邦人口的5%,接近其劳动力的11%。
Gulf oil money has transformed Kerala. K.P. Kannan and K.S. Hari of the Centre for Development Studies, an Indian think-tank, calculate that by the mid-2010s remittances(侨汇) from the region were equivalent to about a quarter of the state’s output, and more than both its value added(增加值) in manufacturing and its public spending. This has lifted living standards. Consumption per person is nearly three-quarters above the Indian average. Multidimensional poverty, an Indian measure of destitution, afflicts around one in ten Indians but is virtually absent(几乎不存在) in Kerala.
海湾石油资金改变了喀拉拉邦。印度智库发展研究中心的K.P. Kannan和K.S. Hari计算,截至2010年代中期,来自该地区的侨汇相当于该邦产出的四分之一,超过其制造业增加值或公共支出。这提高了生活水平。人均消费比印度平均水平高出近四分之三。多维贫困(一种印度衡量贫困的指标)影响约十分之一的印度人,但在喀拉拉邦几乎不存在。
Some economists argue that growing rich by industrialising(工业化(动名词)) and exporting industry’s products is harder nowadays than when Europe, Japan, South Korea and, most recently, China pulled it off(成功做到了). For countries like India, seizing a greater export market for manufactured wares in a world already awash(充斥的) with them requires shoving someone else out of the way(把别人挤开). When that someone else is China, good luck with that.(当这个对手是中国时,祝你好运。) Could exporting people rather than goods, as Kerala does, provide an alternative path to prosperity?
一些经济学家认为,如今通过工业化和出口工业产品致富比欧洲、日本、韩国以及最近的中国实现时更困难。对于印度这样的国家,在一个已经充斥着制造品的世界中抢占更大的出口市场份额,需要将其他国家挤出市场。当这个对手是中国时,祝你好运。像喀拉拉邦那样出口人口而非商品,能否提供一条替代的繁荣之路?
Western disunion
西方分裂