YOU CAN learn a lot from the type of campaign stops(竞选造势活动) politicians make. In early May The Economist went to Detroit to see the three Democratic candidates for Michigan’s open-Senate-seat campaign(参议院空缺席位竞选) on the same day. It provided an insight(洞察，深刻理解) into three very different approaches.
从政客们选择的竞选造势活动中可以学到很多。五月初，《经济学人》前往底特律，在同一天见到了密歇根州参议院空缺席位的三位民主党候选人。这让我们得以洞察三种截然不同的策略。
First was Mallory McMorrow, a state senator, who visited a state-backed industrial project in the city’s suburbs where she peppered(密集提问) staff with earnest questions about 3D printing. Next, in a left-wing coffee shop in the city, was Abdul El-Sayed, a former head of Wayne County’s health department, who spoke for half an hour to your correspondent before giving a speech to 100 or so attendees at an event space nearby. Finally, there was Haley Stevens, a congresswoman from north Detroit. As far as can be told she did nothing at all.
第一位是州参议员马洛里·麦克莫罗，她参观了市郊一个政府支持的工业项目，热情地向工作人员提出关于3D打印的各种问题。接下来是在市内一家左翼咖啡馆的阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德，他曾任韦恩县卫生部门负责人，在向附近活动场所约100名听众发表演讲前，与本报记者交谈了半小时。最后是来自底特律北部的众议员黑莉·史蒂文斯。据目前所知，她什么都没做。
Three months out from polling day, the race in Michigan is shaping up to be one of the most hotly contested Democratic primaries in the country. Gary Peters, the incumbent, is retiring. So unpopular is Donald Trump that our model gives Democrats a strong chance of taking the Senate(唐纳德·特朗普如此不得人心，以至于我们的模型显示民主党有很大机会拿下参议院), but to do so they will have to win Maine and then two Republican-held seats won comfortably by the president in 2024. What they cannot afford to do is to lose Michigan, which plumped for(投票支持) Mr Trump by a margin of(以……的差距) just 1.4%.
距离投票日还有三个月，密歇根州的这场竞选已成为全国竞争最激烈的民主党初选之一。现任参议员加里·彼得斯即将退休。唐纳德·特朗普如此不得人心，以至于我们的模型显示民主党有很大机会拿下参议院，但要做到这一点，他们必须赢得缅因州，然后拿下两个共和党占有的席位——这两个席位在2024年总统轻松获胜。他们绝不能输掉密歇根州，该州仅以1.4个百分点的优势支持了特朗普先生。
Going bluer
更蓝（更左）