
ANY LABOUR leadership race will renew debate over Europe. Andy Burnham, a favourite to succeed Sir Keir Starmer as Britain’s prime minister if he wins a by-election in Makerfield on June 18th, has talked of rejoining the EU, though his prospective constituents(潜在选民)’ past support for Brexit has made him argue recently that reopening the issue may put Britain in a “permanent rut(永久困境;一成不变的乏味状态)”. Wes Streeting, another candidate, is more explicit about wanting to reverse Brexit(逆转脱欧). Even Sir Keir says Britain should be at the heart of Europe again.
任何工党领导层竞选都将重新引发关于欧洲的辩论。安迪·伯纳姆有望在6月18日赢得梅克菲尔德补选后接替基尔·斯塔默爵士成为英国首相,他曾谈到重新加入欧盟,尽管其潜在选民过去对脱欧的支持让他最近辩称,重新开启这个问题可能会让英国陷入“永久性困境”。另一位候选人韦斯·斯特里廷更明确地表示希望逆转脱欧。就连基尔爵士也说他认为英国应该再次处于欧洲中心。
Much has changed since Britons voted by 52-48% to leave the EU a decade ago. The backdrop then seemed more propitious(有利的;吉利的): peace in Europe, spreading globalisation, a strong transatlantic alliance. All that has gone. There is war in Europe, world trade is stuttering(世界贸易步履蹒跚), Donald Trump has undermine(暗中破坏;逐渐削弱)d NATO. A new emphasis on the continent’s security is transforming the EU. And it has become clearer that Brexit has damaged Britain’s economy, with the hit to GDP(对GDP的打击) estimated at 4% or more.
自十年前英国人以52%对48%的投票结果决定脱离欧盟以来,情况已发生巨大变化。当时的背景似乎更为有利:欧洲和平、全球化蔓延、强大的跨大西洋联盟。这一切都已不复存在。欧洲有战争,世界贸易步履蹒跚,唐纳德·特朗普破坏了北约。对欧洲安全的新重视正在改变欧盟。而且越来越清楚的是,脱欧损害了英国经济,对GDP的打击估计在4%或更多。
The art of the possible
可能性的艺术
Public opinion has shifted, too. A recent YouGov(尤戈夫(民调公司)) poll finds 58% of respondents believe it was wrong to leave the EU, with only 29% saying it was right. Polls find that big majorities favour closer links with the EU. Several suggest that, were a Brexit referendum held today, the result (excluding don’t knows) might be as much as 62-38% in favour of rejoining.(几项民调表明,如果今天举行脱欧公投,结果(排除不知道的)可能高达62%对38%支持重新加入。)
公众舆论也已转变。最近YouGov的一项民调显示,58%的受访者认为离开欧盟是错误的,只有29%的人认为正确。民调显示,绝大多数人赞成与欧盟建立更紧密的联系。几项民调表明,如果今天举行脱欧公投,结果(排除不知道的)可能高达62%对38%支持重新加入。
