For more than three years, Ukrainian forces have been on the back foot(处于劣势). These far-flung(遥远的，分布广的) attacks, alongside territorial gains, are a tantalising(诱人的，令人心痒的) sign of change. Dramatic images are helpful. They bring the war closer to ordinary Russians far from the front lines. They demonstrate that Russia is not invincible.
三年多来，乌克兰军队一直处于劣势。这些远距离袭击，连同领土收获，是一个令人心动的变化迹象。戏剧性的图像很有帮助。它们将战争带给远离前线的普通俄罗斯人。它们表明俄罗斯并非不可战胜。
But they cannot fully capture how destructive a strike has been, so we have attempted to find out. Our data analysis suggests Ukraine’s deep strikes have been more extensive, and more damaging to Russia’s economy and military production, than commonly assumed.(我们的数据分析表明，乌克兰的纵深打击比普遍认为的范围更广，对俄罗斯经济和军事生产的破坏性更大。) They continue to grow in intensity.
但它们无法完全捕捉一次打击的破坏程度，因此我们试图查明。我们的数据分析表明，乌克兰的纵深打击比普遍认为的范围更广，对俄罗斯经济和军事生产的破坏性更大。它们继续增强强度。
We looked at data on 1,289 Ukrainian strikes from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data project (ACLED(① 详细背景：ACLED（Armed C...)), a monitoring group, on targets that were at least 100km from its borders. From 2022 to the end of 2024, 335 strikes fit this definition. In 2025 Ukraine completed 658 such strikes—almost twice as many in a single year as the previous three combined. This year, at the current pace, Ukraine is on track to(有望，按计划) execute over 800 deep strikes.
我们查看了来自武装冲突地点和事件数据项目（ACLED）的1,289次乌克兰打击数据，该项目是一个监测组织，针对距离其边境至少100公里的目标。从2022年到2024年底，有335次打击符合这一定义。2025年乌克兰完成了658次此类打击——单年数量几乎是之前三年总和的两倍。按照目前的速度，乌克兰今年有望执行超过800次纵深打击。
