
November's midterm elections(中期选举) were always going to be difficult for Republicans. The last time the incumbent president's party gained seats in Congress in a midterm election was in 2002, when Americans rallied around(团结在…周围) George W. Bush after the September 11th attacks(①9/11事件发生于2001年9月11日...). Donald Trump's war in Iran will have a different impact. That's in part because Mr Bush's “war on terror” eventually left many Americans sceptical(怀疑的) of foreign entanglements(海外卷入/外交纠葛). It's also because this particular entanglement has been phenomenally(极其,非凡地) unpopular, and will have stubborn after-effects(顽固的后效应/后遗症).
十一月的期中选举对共和党人来说本就困难重重。上一次执政党在中期选举中增加国会席位还是在2002年,当时美国人在9/11袭击后团结在小布什周围。而特朗普的伊朗战争将产生不同的影响。部分原因是小布什的“反恐战争”最终让许多美国人对海外介入持怀疑态度。也因为这场特别的介入极其不得人心,并将产生顽固的后遗症。
Questions about the deal remain, but a few things have become clear. The war has come at a cost to American treasure(财富,国库) and prestige. Having burned through(耗尽,快速消耗) munitions(弹药,军火), America's ability to deter(威慑,阻止) other enemies has been weakened. The conflict has frayed(磨损,使紧张) its alliances and shocked global oil markets. For many on Capitol Hill(①Capitol Hill(国会山)是美...), there is also the vexing(令人烦恼的,棘手的) question of how the war's end will affect their job prospects.
协议仍有疑问,但有几件事已变得清楚。这场战争耗尽了美国的财富和声望。在消耗完弹药后,美国威慑其他敌人的能力被削弱。冲突损害了其联盟关系并冲击了全球石油市场。对于国会山的许多人而言,还有一个棘手的问题:战争结束将如何影响他们的工作前景。
Just 27% of voters thought America should attack Iran, according to an Economist/YouGov(①YouGov是一家总部位于英国的市场研...) poll conducted a week before the first strikes. Mr Trump's magnetism(吸引力,魅力) within MAGA(①MAGA是“Make America ...) is such that Republican approval for the strikes jumped from 56% to 76% in the week after the attacks. However, wider support failed to materialise(实现,成为现实). By early June approval of the war was negligible(可忽略不计的,微不足道的) among Democrats (7%), low among independents (18%) and had even slackened(减弱,松懈) among Republicans (59%). A poll conducted on the eve of the deal's announcement showed that more than half of self-identified MAGA supporters thought the country should push for(争取,推动) one as soon as possible.
根据首次空袭前一周进行的《经济学人》/YouGov民调,只有27%的选民认为美国应该攻击伊朗。特朗普在MAGA群体中的个人魅力如此之大,以至于共和党人对空袭的支持率在袭击后一周内从56%跃升至76%。然而,更广泛的支持未能实现。到6月初,战争的支持率在民主党人中微不足道(7%),在独立选民中较低(18%),甚至在共和党人中也有所下降(59%)。在协议宣布前夕进行的一项民调显示,超过一半自认为MAGA的支持者认为国家应尽快推动协议达成。