CEbu, an island in the middle of the Philippines, is a cheap place to have someone killed. Three teenagers admitted to murdering a woman in May for 5,000 pesos ($80) and three packs of the country’s most popular narcotic(麻醉剂；毒品), methamphetamine, locally known as shabu. More than 10,000km away in a detention centre near The Hague sits the man who created the market for such work.(在1万多公里外海牙附近的一处拘留中心，坐着那个为这类勾当创造市场的人。) On November 30th Rodrigo Duterte, the Philippines’ 81-year-old former president, will stand trial(受审) at the International Criminal Court (ICC) for crimes against humanity(危害人类罪) in a “war on drugs” that killed up to 30,000 Filipinos.
宿务，菲律宾中部的一个岛屿，是雇凶杀人的廉价之地。三名青少年承认在五月以5000比索（约80美元）和三包该国最流行的毒品——甲基苯丙胺（当地称为“沙布”）为报酬，谋杀了一名女子。而在1万多公里外海牙附近的一处拘留中心，坐着那个为这类勾当创造市场的人。11月30日，菲律宾81岁的前总统罗德里戈·杜特尔特将因在“禁毒战争”中犯下危害人类罪而在国际刑事法院受审，这场战争导致多达3万菲律宾人丧生。
That war lasted until Mr Duterte left office in 2022. His successor, Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos, calls his own anti-drug campaign “bloodless”. His administration claims to have confiscated nearly as many illegal drugs in the first three years of his presidency as Mr Duterte’s did in six. Mr Marcos’s police chief has brushed off(不予理会；轻视) claims that police and vigilante(治安维持会成员) killings continue. But the numbers say otherwise. Ten years after Mr Duterte unleashed(释放；放开) the police on his own citizens, the war has not in fact ended. Rather, it has undergone a drastic rebranding(经历了剧烈的改头换面).
那场战争一直持续到杜特尔特2022年离任。他的继任者费迪南德·“邦邦”·马科斯称自己的禁毒运动是“不流血的”。他的政府声称，在其总统任期的头三年里缴获的非法毒品数量几乎与杜特尔特六年任期相当。马科斯的警察局长对有关警察和治安维持会杀戮仍在继续的说法不予理会。但数字表明并非如此。在杜特尔特将警察释放到自己的公民身上十年后，这场战争实际上并未结束。相反，它经历了一次剧烈的改头换面。
Drug-related killings have slowed, according to Dahas, a monitoring project at the University of the Philippines: from 342 in Mr Marcos’s first year to 269 in his fourth, which ended on June 30th—a small fraction of the rate at the height of the war, when Mr Duterte’s own office once logged more than 20,000 deaths in 17 months. Yet this winding-down began under Mr Duterte. In his final year in office just 302 killings were reported (see chart). The composition of the toll(伤亡人数；代价) is also telling. While Mr Duterte normalised vigilantism, the share of killings attributed to(归因于) state agents has been stuck at about a third for three years, roughly 100 a year since 2023. Nothing from Mr Duterte’s war has been dismantled(拆除；废除). Its foundational documents, such as a circular known as “Project Double Barrel(双管计划：杜特尔特禁毒战争的核心政策)”, promising the “neutralisation(清除；中和) of illegal drug personalities” remain on the books.
据菲律宾大学的监测项目Dahas称，与毒品相关的杀戮已放缓：从马科斯第一年的342起降至第四年（截至6月30日）的269起——这仅是战争高峰期的一小部分，当时杜特尔特自己的办公室曾在17个月内记录超过2万起死亡。然而，这种放缓始于杜特尔特任内。在他执政的最后一年，仅报告了302起杀戮（见图表）。死亡人数的构成也说明了问题。杜特尔特将私刑常态化，而国家代理人造成的杀戮比例三年来一直保持在约三分之一，自2023年以来每年约100起。杜特尔特的战争遗产丝毫未被废除。其基础性文件，如名为“双管计划”的通知，承诺“清除非法毒品人物”，至今仍有效。