The heat inside Mornaguia prison, on the edge of Tunis, climbed past 50°C this summer. On July 17th Rachid Ghannouchi, the 85-year-old founder of Ennahda, the Tunisian political party inspired by the Muslim Brotherhood, passed out(晕倒，失去知觉) in his cell. His story seems destined(注定的，命定的) to end like that of Muhammad Morsi(埃及前总统，穆斯林兄弟会成员), the Brotherhood figure elected as president of Egypt in 2012, only to(结果却，不料) die in prison in 2019.
今年夏天，突尼斯城郊的莫尔纳吉亚监狱内，气温攀升至50摄氏度以上。7月17日，受穆斯林兄弟会启发的突尼斯政党“复兴运动”的85岁创始人拉希德·加努希在牢房中晕倒。他的命运似乎注定与穆罕默德·穆尔西相似——这位穆斯林兄弟会人物于2012年当选埃及总统，却在2019年死于狱中。
Mr Ghannouchi’s fate illustrates(说明，阐明) the declining influence of his ideological comrades across the Middle East. A decade and a half ago parties associated with the Brotherhood held the presidency of Egypt and a plurality(相对多数，复数) of seats in Tunisia’s parliament. Its triumphal message was pumped out(大量输出，灌输) to the Arab masses by Qatar’s popular Al Jazeera(半岛电视台，卡塔尔媒体) television channel. The group seemed the early winner of the Arab spring that erupted(爆发，突然发生) in Tunisia in late 2010 and spread through the Arab world in 2011.
加努希的命运说明了其意识形态同道在整个中东地区影响力的衰退。十五年前，与穆斯林兄弟会有关联的政党曾占据埃及总统职位，并在突尼斯议会中拥有相对多数席位。其胜利的讯息通过卡塔尔广受欢迎的半岛电视台向阿拉伯大众传播。该组织似乎是2010年底在突尼斯爆发、2011年席卷阿拉伯世界的“阿拉伯之春”的早期赢家。
But autocracies(专制政权，独裁国家) soon reimposed(重新强加，恢复) themselves. In the years that followed, the Brotherhood’s leaders were imprisoned or scattered into exile. The past year has been especially punishing. In November Donald Trump told his administration to designate(指定，认定) the group’s various chapters as terrorists. On January 13th it listed the Egyptian and Jordanian branches as “global terrorists” for aiding Hamas(哈马斯，巴勒斯坦伊斯兰组织), which grew out of(源于，由……发展而来) the Brotherhood’s Palestinian branch; the Lebanese version was officially deemed(被视为，认为) a “foreign terrorist” organisation. In May, under a new American counter-terrorism strategy, the Brotherhood was included alongside al-Qaeda and Islamic State as a wellspring(源泉，源头) of modern jihadism. Jordan banned the group completely in April 2025 and has since curbed(限制，抑制) its political wing, the Islamic Action Front.
但专制政权很快重新确立。在随后的几年里，兄弟会的领导人被监禁或流亡海外。过去一年尤其残酷。11月，唐纳德·特朗普指示其政府将该组织的各个分支指定为恐怖分子。1月13日，美国将埃及和约旦分支列为“全球恐怖分子”，理由是它们援助哈马斯——哈马斯脱胎于兄弟会的巴勒斯坦分支；黎巴嫩分支则被正式认定为“外国恐怖组织”。5月，根据新的美国反恐战略，兄弟会与基地组织和伊斯兰国一起被列为现代圣战主义的源头。约旦于2025年4月完全取缔该组织，此后一直限制其政治翼“伊斯兰行动阵线”。