
PERHAPS machines will make many humans unemployable(无法就业的) eventually—but there is no sign of it yet(目前尚无迹象). On September 4th the Bureau of Labour Statistics(美国劳工统计局) reported that the American economy added 162,000 jobs in August, far above expectations(远超预期). The unemployment rate is 4.1%, lower than in almost 90% of months over the past half-century. Young workers, often cast as the first victims, of artificial intelligence, are doing just fine: the gap between unemployment among 20-24-year-olds and the overall rate is close to a multi-decade low.(常被视为人工智能首批受害者的年轻劳动者,日子过得相当不错:20至24岁人群失业率与整体失业率之间的差距接近数十年来的最低点。)
也许机器最终会让许多人失去就业能力——但目前尚无迹象。9月4日,美国劳工统计局报告称,8月美国经济新增16.2万个就业岗位,远超预期。失业率为4.1%,低于过去半个世纪中近90%的月份。常被视为人工智能首批受害者的年轻劳动者,日子过得相当不错:20至24岁人群失业率与整体失业率之间的差距接近数十年来的最低点。
Some companies and workers are being severely disrupt(扰乱,颠覆)ed by AI. Hiring in professional and business services is running about 10% below the average in 2015-19. Tech giants such as Microsoft and Meta are trimming headcounts as they reorganise(重组) their businesses around the technology. Smaller firms such as Block, the owner of Square and Cash App, and Intuit, the maker of TurboTax and QuickBooks, are replacing people with bots. American companies have announced some 16,000 AI-related job cuts(裁员) a month on average so far this year, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, an employment consultancy.
一些公司和劳动者正受到人工智能的严重冲击。专业与商业服务业的招聘规模比2015至2019年的平均水平低约10%。微软、Meta等科技巨头在围绕这项技术重组业务的同时正在裁员。Block(Square和Cash App的母公司)、Intuit(TurboTax和QuickBooks的开发商)等规模较小的公司正用机器人取代人工。据就业咨询公司Challenger, Gray & Christmas统计,今年以来美国企业平均每月宣布约1.6万个与AI相关的裁员。
But AI-related layoff(裁员)s get lost in(淹没在……中) a churning(剧烈流动的) jobs market where employers shed(裁减,削减) roughly 1.7m workers in a typical month. And the evidence so far is that AI is already creating a lot of jobs to replace those it has destroyed. The vast sums pouring into data centres and power generation have set off a race(引发一场争夺) for construction and infrastructure workers. AI startups are hiring like there is no tomorrow(拼命招人). Incumbents racing to keep up are creating new AI roles. And by making some workers more productive, AI may be increasing demand for their services.(而通过提高部分劳动者的生产率,人工智能可能正在增加对他们服务的需求。)
但与AI相关的裁员,在每月约有170万劳动者被裁的动荡就业市场中并不显眼。而且迄今为止的证据表明,AI已经在创造大量岗位来替代它所摧毁的岗位。涌入数据中心和发电领域的巨额资金,引发了对建筑和基础设施工人的争夺。AI初创公司正拼命招人。奋力追赶的现有企业也在设立新的AI岗位。而通过提高部分劳动者的生产率,AI可能正在增加对他们服务的需求。


