
“My favourite toy,” quip(打趣地说)s Javier Milei, glancing at the golden chainsaw(电锯) in his office in the Casa Rosada(阿根廷总统府玫瑰宫), the presidential palace. “There’s so much more spending to cut and so many more taxes to lower,” he says, adding that he will really let rip(大干一场;尽情发作) once re-elected next year. If the reforms so far have been “more than everything that was done in the past 100 years in Argentina combined, let me assure you the next reform package will be far deeper.”(如果说迄今为止的改革“超过了阿根廷过去100年所做一切的总和”,那么我保证下一轮改革方案将深入得多。) He promises that Argentina will embrace artificial intelligence(拥抱人工智能) like no other country and believes it could help it to “become a leading world power like the United States” in just 20 years. Get ready for Milei “reloaded(重新装弹;再出发)”, he grins.
“我最喜欢的玩具,”哈维尔·米莱瞥了一眼总统府玫瑰宫办公室里的那把金色电锯,打趣道。“还有太多开支要削减,太多税要降低,”他说,并补充道,明年连任后他会真正大干一场。如果说迄今为止的改革“超过了阿根廷过去100年所做的一切的总和,那么我向你们保证,下一轮改革方案将深入得多。”他承诺阿根廷将比任何国家都更积极地拥抱人工智能,并相信这能帮助阿根廷在短短20年内“成为像美国那样的世界领先强国”。准备好迎接米莱“再出发”吧,他咧嘴笑道。
Yet this is a delicate(微妙的;棘手的) moment. After inheriting a dreadful economic mess Mr Milei has managed to reduce inflation and heavily deregulate(放松管制) the economy. Voters rewarded this at last year’s midterm election, but today they tell pollster(民调机构;民意调查者)s that they care much more about job prospects and wages than inflation. Economic growth is splutter(断断续续地运转)ing, and there are only 14 months for new policy measures to deliver results before the president faces voters in October next year. With his personal net approval rating deeply negative, there is a risk that a big-spending rival from Argentina’s left-wing Peronist movement, which champions an interventionist state, could capture voters’ imaginations.(由于他的个人净支持率严重为负,一位来自阿根廷左翼庇隆主义运动、主张干预主义国家的大手笔花钱的对手,有可能俘获选民的想象力。) Mr Milei’s radical experiment, which has inspired free-marketeers worldwide, hangs in the balance. The big question for the coming year is whether doubling down—Milei reloaded—is the way to win re-election.
然而,这是一个微妙的时刻。在接手一团糟的经济烂摊子后,米莱成功降低了通胀并大幅放松了经济管制。选民在去年的中期选举中对此给予了回报,但如今他们告诉民调机构,他们更关心就业前景和工资,而非通胀。经济增长断断续续,而距离明年10月总统面对选民只有14个月,新政策措施必须在这段时间内见效。由于他的个人净支持率严重为负,一位来自阿根廷左翼庇隆主义运动、主张干预主义国家的大手笔花钱的对手,有可能俘获选民的想象力。米莱的激进实验曾激励了全世界的自由市场派,如今却悬而未决。来年的重大问题是:加倍下注——米莱再出发——是否是赢得连任的途径。
Mr Milei can boast(夸耀;拥有) remarkable successes. Before he took office in December 2023 inflation was running at 13% a month and government spending was out of control, financed by printing money.(在他2023年12月上任之前,通胀率高达每月13%,政府开支失控,靠印钞来支撑。) He took his chainsaw to spending and delivered fiscal surplus(财政盈余)es. Inflation has fallen, to about 2% per month. This has helped reduce the share of people living in poverty in Argentina by about a third, to 28%.
米莱可以夸耀一些显著的成功。在他2023年12月上任之前,通胀率高达每月13%,政府开支失控,靠印钞来支撑。他用电锯砍向开支,实现了财政盈余。通胀已降至每月约2%。这帮助阿根廷的贫困人口比例下降了约三分之一,降至28%。

