WAR CAN wreak havoc on(对……造成严重破坏) any economy. But open, knowledge-based economies are especially vulnerable(脆弱的，易受伤害的). International connections come under strain(承受压力，处于紧张状态); the best minds can flee. Israel’s conflicts in the past three years have thus raised many fears for its prosperity. Will its skilled elite(精英，精英阶层) stay? Must its Palestinian labourers go?
战争能重创任何经济体。但开放的知识型经济体尤其脆弱：国际联系会承受压力，顶尖人才可能外流。因此，以色列过去三年的冲突让许多人对其繁荣前景忧心忡忡。技术精英会留下吗？巴勒斯坦劳工必须离开吗？
So far, however, the economic data keeps defy(使……难以实现；违抗)ing the doubters. Between April and June GDP expanded by nearly 15% at an annual rate(按年率计算). Growth forecasts for 2026 as a whole have been raised. With an election loom(逼近，隐现)ing, Binyamin Netanyahu(以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡), the prime minister, has been in bullish spirits(情绪乐观，信心十足). “I’m not a stockbroker,” he said in an interview with American television last month, “but I would say buy anything in Israel, because Israel is going up.”
然而到目前为止，经济数据一再让怀疑者大跌眼镜。4月至6月间，GDP按年率计算增长了近15%。2026年全年的增长预期已被上调。随着大选临近，总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡一直情绪乐观。他上月接受美国电视采访时说：“我不是股票经纪人，但我会说，在以色列什么都值得买，因为以色列正在蒸蒸日上。”
The economy has been on a war footing(处于战时状态) ever since Hamas attacked in October 2023. GDP briefly contract(收缩，萎缩)ed under the threat of further strikes and the removal of 200,000 Palestinians, who once man(操作，在……岗位上工作)ned fields and construction sites. But after this backward step, a furious scramble of activity began. Defence spending ramped up. Wages also rose as firms rushed to replace 300,000 reservist(预备役军人)s called to duty.
自2023年10月哈马斯发动袭击以来，以色列经济一直处于战时状态。在进一步袭击的威胁以及20万巴勒斯坦人被清退（他们曾耕作农田、在建筑工地劳作）的双重冲击下，GDP一度萎缩。但经历这一倒退后，一场疯狂的经济活动 scramble 开始了。国防开支大幅增加。随着企业争相填补30万被征召预备役人员留下的空缺，工资也上涨了。