The IMF’s latest economic outlook found that the global economy had displayed resilience(韧性，恢复力) in the face of(面对，在……面前) several shocks, and estimated that global GDP would grow by 3.1% this year, up slightly from a previous prediction in July. It also noted that borrowing costs have risen sharply in rich countries as “fiscal buffers(财政缓冲)” are used to absorb economic shocks. “Fiscal policy must be restrained,” it said. Higher public borrowing has helped propel a sell-off(助推抛售) in bond markets. The fund also downgraded(下调（预期）) Saudi Arabia’s GDP growth by five percentage points and now thinks the kingdom’s economy will shrink by 3.3% this year.
国际货币基金组织（IMF）最新发布的经济展望报告指出，全球经济在多重冲击面前展现出韧性，并估计今年全球GDP将增长3.1%，较7月份的预测略有上调。报告还指出，由于“财政缓冲”被用于吸收经济冲击，富裕国家的借贷成本已大幅上升。报告称：“财政政策必须保持克制。”公共借贷增加助推了债券市场的抛售。该组织还将沙特阿拉伯的GDP增长预期下调了5个百分点，目前认为该国经济今年将萎缩3.3%。
America’s annual inflation rate jumped to 3.7% in September, from 3.4% in August, driven by the rebound(反弹，回升) in fuel prices. Higher energy prices are also on the cards(可能发生) for Europe, where gas futures(天然气期货) have risen steeply since the start of the Iran war and are now trading above €87 ($97) per megawatt hour(兆瓦时).
美国9月年通胀率从8月的3.4%跃升至3.7%，主要受燃料价格反弹推动。欧洲也可能面临能源价格上涨，自伊朗战争爆发以来，天然气期货价格大幅攀升，目前交易价格已超过每兆瓦时87欧元（97美元）。
China’s export boom continued apace(继续快速进行) in September, as the value of goods sent abroad rose by 36%, year on year, smashing most forecasts(远超大多数预测). Exports to America were up by almost 40%. China’s trade surplus(贸易顺差) for the first nine months of 2026 was $938bn, on track to(有望，即将) pass last year’s record $1.2trn. China, meanwhile, agreed to curb(限制，抑制) its exports of hybrid cars to the EU in an effort to head off(阻止，避免) tariffs on the vehicles.
中国9月出口继续快速增长，出口商品价值同比增长36%，远超大多数预测。对美出口增长近40%。2026年前九个月，中国贸易顺差达9380亿美元，有望超过去年创纪录的1.2万亿美元。与此同时，中国同意限制对欧盟的混合动力汽车出口，以规避关税。