THE INTENSE debate of recent weeks on the risks around artificial intelligence presents an opportunity. Anthropic’s Dario Amodei urged the industry to “pace(把控节奏) the frontier”. Many others echoed(附和、响应) him, and politicians across the spectrum(各派、各个层面) have signalled they are ready to act. Not everyone, however, agrees. President Donald Trump has spoken against new AI regulation, as have Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg and Nvidia’s Jensen Huang.(特朗普总统公开反对新的AI监管，Meta的扎克伯格和英伟达的黄仁勋也是如此。)
最近几周围绕人工智能风险的激烈辩论带来了一个契机。Anthropic的达里奥·阿莫代伊敦促业界“把控前沿的节奏”。许多人附和他的观点，各派政治人物也纷纷表示准备采取行动。然而，并非所有人都认同。唐纳德·特朗普总统公开反对新的AI监管，Meta的马克·扎克伯格和英伟达的黄仁勋也是如此。
Those sceptical(持怀疑态度的) of regulation make four arguments: the risk is overstated(被夸大); existing law already covers it; some labs are backing regulation only to entrench(巩固、使根深蒂固) their lead; and if America slows down, China will overtake(超越、赶超) it and nobody will be safer.
对监管持怀疑态度的人提出四个论点：风险被夸大；现行法律已经覆盖；一些实验室支持监管只是为了巩固自身领先地位；如果美国放慢脚步，中国就会超越，而且没有人会更安全。
The first claim, that the risk is small or improbable(不太可能的), misses the forest for the trees(只见树木不见森林). Very capable models are already in the hands of(在……手中、由……掌控) those seeking to do harm. Everyone is now exposed, and what the world has seen so far is the tip of the iceberg(冰山一角): nefarious(邪恶的、不法的) actors are likely to use open-weight models(开放权重模型), which are far harder to track.
第一个论点——风险很小或不太可能发生——是只见树木不见森林。能力极强的模型已经落入企图作恶者手中。如今人人都暴露在风险之下，而世界迄今所见不过是冰山一角：不法分子很可能使用开放权重模型，这类模型要追踪起来难得多。