
LULA WAS a goner(完蛋了的人)—or at least that is what everyone had assumed. Instead, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Brazil’s incumbent(现任的) president, pulled off a win for the history books(取得载入史册的胜利). The left-wing leader hung on to his job by a clear margin of nearly four percentage points in a presidential run-off(决选) on October 25th, even though he had trailed(落后于) his rival, Flávio Bolsonaro, in the first round of voting three weeks earlier. Never in Brazilian history has anyone come from behind in this way to clinch the presidency.(巴西历史上从未有人以这种方式后来居上、锁定总统宝座。) In January Lula will become the country’s first democratically elected president to start a fourth term.
卢拉完了——至少所有人都是这么以为的。然而,巴西现任总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦却上演了一场载入史册的胜利。这位左翼领导人在10月25日的总统决选中以近4个百分点的明显优势保住了职位,尽管三周前的第一轮投票中他还落后于对手弗拉维奥·博索纳罗。巴西历史上从未有人以这种方式后来居上、锁定总统宝座。明年1月,卢拉将成为该国首位开启第四个任期的民选总统。
Yet if Lula’s supporters are elated(欢欣鼓舞的), others are running scared(恐惧逃窜). One was Flávio, who has sought sanctuary(庇护所) in the United States, claiming emptily to be the ballot’s real victor. For some time investigators have been examining his ties with a businessman accused of laundering(洗钱) vast sums of money (both deny any wrongdoing). The day after the election, the Supreme Court judge who is handling that case required him to surrender his passports.(选举次日,审理此案的最高法院法官要求他交出护照。) Instead of doing that, Flávio ran away.
然而,如果说卢拉的支持者欢欣鼓舞,另一些人则在恐惧中逃窜。弗拉维奥就是其中之一,他跑到美国寻求庇护,空洞地宣称自己才是选举的真正赢家。一段时间以来,调查人员一直在审查他与一名被控洗钱巨额资金的商人的关系(两人均否认有任何不当行为)。选举次日,审理此案的最高法院法官要求他交出护照。弗拉维奥非但没有照做,反而逃跑了。
More significant, investors are fleeing(逃离) Brazil, too. Markets rightly fear economic drift(经济漂移) and high-spending that Brazil cannot afford. The real slumped(暴跌) by 8% against the dollar the day after the election result, the worst one-day fall in over 25 years. The main stock-market index, the Bovespa, closed 14% lower, having tripped a circuit-breaker on the way down.(主要股市指数博维斯帕收盘下跌14%,下跌途中还触发了熔断机制。) If Lula wants to lift up poor Brazilians, avoid a crisis and protect his legacy, his final four years in office will have to look very different from the past four. That starts with him persuading investors that he means to change course(改变路线).
更重要的是,投资者也在逃离巴西。市场有理由担心经济漂移和巴西负担不起的高支出。选举结果公布次日,雷亚尔兑美元暴跌8%,为25年多来最大单日跌幅。主要股市指数博维斯帕收盘下跌14%,下跌途中还触发了熔断机制。如果卢拉想改善贫困巴西人的生活、避免危机并保护自己的政治遗产,他最后四年任期必须与过去四年截然不同。这首先要说服投资者,他确实打算改变路线。
No time to lose
时不我待