THE DEATH knell for Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign first sounded in Loudoun County, Virginia. Home to affluent(富裕的) voters, one-quarter of whom are of Asian descent(亚裔血统), the county had plump(果断支持；投票给)ed decisively for Joe Biden in 2020. When it was reported, early on election night in 2024, that Ms Harris had won by 16 points compared with Mr Biden’s 25, pundit(评论员；权威专家)s wondered if there had been a glitch(小故障；技术差错).
卡玛拉·哈里斯总统竞选的丧钟，最早在弗吉尼亚州劳登县敲响。这里住着富裕选民，其中四分之一有亚裔血统；2020年该县曾果断力挺乔·拜登。2024年选举夜早些时候，有报道称哈里斯以16个百分点的优势拿下该县，而拜登当年赢了25个百分点，评论人士一度怀疑是不是数据出了故障。
The county may now move left(向左转；转向支持左翼) once more. At an early-voting centre, volunteers recently handed out sample ballot(样票；选票样本)s in Hindi. Arjun, a man in his 50s, described a case of “buyer’s remorse(买家懊悔；购后后悔)” after backing Donald Trump two years ago. “Everything he said was a lie,” he explained. Outside Patel Brothers, a bustling(熙熙攘攘的；繁忙的) supermarket, one woman said she will vote for Democrats because Mr Trump’s cuts have gut(严重削弱；掏空)ted care for her disabled child. Other former Trump supporters said they were repel(使反感；击退)led by the Iran war, high prices, cuts to visas, cruel deportation(驱逐出境)s and reductions in the federal workforce(联邦政府雇员队伍). “A lot of my friends lost their jobs,” said Mohammed, an architect.
如今该县可能再次向左转。在一个提前投票站，志愿者最近用印地语发放了样票。五十多岁的阿琼描述了自己两年前支持唐纳德·特朗普后的“买家懊悔”。“他说的每句话都是谎言，”他解释道。在熙熙攘攘的帕特尔兄弟超市外，一位女士说她会投给民主党，因为特朗普的削减让她残疾孩子的照护服务遭到重创。其他前特朗普支持者表示，伊朗战争、高物价、签证削减、残酷的驱逐行动以及联邦雇员裁减让他们反感。“我很多朋友都丢了工作，”建筑师穆罕默德说。
Mr Trump’s declining popularity in Loudoun in some ways mirrors trends across the country: nationally, his net approval rating(净支持率) is -27. But these swing(摇摆；转变)s, towards Mr Trump two years ago and away from him since then, are not distributed evenly(均匀分布) across America. Instead, they have been concentrated in states and districts that are geographically disparate but share a striking demographic similarity: they have large shares of Asian or Latino voters.(相反，它们集中在一些地理上相距遥远、却有着惊人人口共性的州和选区：这些地方亚裔或拉美裔选民占比很高。)
特朗普在劳登县人气下滑，在某种程度上反映了全国趋势：从全国看，他的净支持率为-27。但这些摇摆——两年前倒向特朗普、此后又远离他——在美国的分布并不均匀。相反，它们集中在一些地理上相距遥远、却有着惊人人口共性的州和选区：这些地方亚裔或拉美裔选民占比很高。
