
Senator pauline hanson swaggered(大摇大摆地走) into Secret Harbour on October 30th like a general inspecting troops in newly conquered territory. It was her first visit since One Nation, her ragtag(乌合之众的;杂乱的) populist party, won a by-election(补选) in the coastal town. The race for a seat in the Western Australia state parliament was the latest in an “orange wave(橙色浪潮)” of wins for One Nation in elections this year. But Secret Harbour is special: the town sits inside the federal constituency of one of Ms Hanson’s most formidable(令人敬畏的;强大的) opponents, the special-forces veteran and Liberal Party frontbencher(前座议员) Andrew Hastie.
10月30日,宝琳·汉森参议员大摇大摆地走进秘密港,活像一位将军在视察新征服的领土。这是自她的乌合之众民粹政党“单一民族党”赢得这个沿海小镇的补选以来,她首次到访。这场西澳大利亚州议会席位的争夺,是单一民族党今年在选举中掀起的“橙色浪潮”的最新一役。但秘密港非同寻常:这座小镇位于汉森最强劲的对手之一——特种部队老兵、自由党前座议员安德鲁·哈斯蒂的联邦选区之内。
Once dismissed as a gadfly(讨人嫌的搅局者;牛虻), Ms Hanson is now a real force. In January One Nation overtook the Liberals in the polls and still has a lead. It is neck-and-neck(不相上下;并驾齐驱) with the governing Labor Party. It still lacks much of the scaffolding(架构;脚手架) of a national organisation, but Ms Hanson has shown that she can turn voter anger at the major parties into seats. So her party has a real shot at(确实有机会) replacing the Liberals as the official opposition(官方反对党) at the next election in 2028, and an outside one at forming the next government.
汉森曾被视为一个讨人嫌的搅局者,如今却是一股真正的力量。今年1月,单一民族党在民调中反超自由党,至今仍保持领先。它与执政的工党不相上下。该党仍然缺乏全国性组织的大部分架构,但汉森已经证明,她能把选民对主要政党的愤怒转化为席位。因此,她的政党确实有机会在2028年下届大选中取代自由党成为官方反对党,而组建下届政府的机会则较为渺茫。

The election in February of Angus Taylor as the Liberals’ new leader has not boosted the party’s fortunes(运势;命运). Mr Taylor, attacked by Ms Hanson as a “smarmy(油滑的;谄媚的) management consultant”, has mostly avoided confrontation with her. But Mr Hastie has taken her on(与她正面交锋) directly. Some Liberals argue that, against her, he would be a stronger leader than Mr Taylor. “It was obvious that the better choice would have been Hastie(显然,更好的选择本应是哈斯蒂。),” says Malcolm Turnbull, a former prime minister and Liberal leader. “I’m sure he’ll lead the Liberal Party some day—if he doesn’t lose his seat.”
今年2月安格斯·泰勒当选自由党新领袖,并未提振该党的运势。泰勒被汉森攻击为“油滑的管理顾问”,他大多回避与汉森正面交锋。但哈斯蒂选择直接迎战。一些自由党人认为,面对汉森,他会是比泰勒更强的领袖。“显然,更好的选择本应是哈斯蒂,”前总理、自由党领袖马尔科姆·特恩布尔说。“我确信他总有一天会领导自由党——前提是他不丢掉自己的席位。”