
IT WAS NOT the first time—or even the third—that Donald Trump had trailed(预告;宣扬) a “big beautiful” peace for Ukraine. But his latest promise, made days before the first trilateral peace talks since February, set alarm bells ringing in Kyiv and European capitals.(但他最新的承诺——在2月以来首次三方和平谈判前几天做出——在基辅和欧洲各国首都敲响了警钟。) In the event(结果;事实上), negotiations in Abu Dhabi over November 10th and 11th raised more questions than they answered.
这已经不是唐纳德·特朗普第一次——甚至不是第三次——为乌克兰描绘“宏大而美好”的和平愿景了。但他最新的承诺——在2月以来首次三方和平谈判前几天做出——在基辅和欧洲各国首都敲响了警钟。结果,11月10日至11日在阿布扎比举行的谈判提出的问题比回答的还多。
The talks, which lasted just six hours, had set out to(着手;打算) discuss the small matter of((反讽)重要问题) post-war European security. About the only firm outcome was a large prisoner swap, by now a ritual(例行公事;仪式) conclusion. The real test was due to come on November 12th when American negotiators(谈判代表) Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner took a set of ideas to Moscow for Vladimir Putin. These were understood to include “Article 5-style(第五条式(集体防御条款))” security guarantees for Ukraine—from America, Britain, France and Germany, as well as NATO itself. For now, though, there is no expectation that Mr Putin will sign any sort of deal that strengthens Ukrainian’s security.(然而目前,没有人指望普京会签署任何加强乌克兰安全的协议。)
这场仅持续六小时的会谈,本应讨论战后欧洲安全这个“小问题”。唯一确定的成果是一次大规模换俘——如今这已成为例行公事。真正的考验原定于11月12日到来,届时美国谈判代表史蒂夫·维特科夫和贾里德·库什纳将带着一套方案前往莫斯科会见弗拉基米尔·普京。据信这些方案包括向乌克兰提供“第五条式”安全保障——来自美国、英国、法国和德国,以及北约本身。然而目前,没有人指望普京会签署任何加强乌克兰安全的协议。
The Americans have dangled(抛出(诱饵)) several sweeteners(甜头;优惠条件) to coax(哄劝;诱使) Mr Putin into a deal. One is to plug Russia back into European energy markets (in breach of(违反) a new EU law). “Not a chance(绝不可能) of us agreeing to that while the war is still raging(肆虐;激烈进行),” added a senior Ukrainian official. Another is to discuss Russia’s dubious(可疑的;无把握的) claims that Europe threatens its own security, something Mr Putin has been demanding since before his full-scale invasion in February 2022. “Discussing Europe’s security architecture with Putin is like asking a rat to approve the design of a rat trap,” wrote Andrei Kozyrev, a former Russian foreign minister, on X.(前俄罗斯外长安德烈·科济列夫在X上写道:“与普京讨论欧洲安全架构,就像让老鼠批准捕鼠器的设计。”)
美国抛出了几项甜头来诱使普京达成协议。其一是让俄罗斯重新接入欧洲能源市场(此举违反欧盟新法)。一位乌克兰高级官员补充说:“只要战争还在肆虐,我们绝不可能同意。”其二是讨论俄罗斯关于欧洲威胁其自身安全的无稽之谈——这是普京自2022年2月全面入侵之前就一直要求的。前俄罗斯外长安德烈·科济列夫在X上写道:“与普京讨论欧洲安全架构,就像让老鼠批准捕鼠器的设计。”