“TO CALL IT a wave I don’t think would be fully accurate,” Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida, said the morning after Democrats won control of Congress. “It’s the political equivalent of a meteor strike(陨石撞击) that went all around the United States—blue states, red states(蓝州与红州), everything in between. And the one state that was able to hold the line(守住阵线) and withstand that is right here in the free state of Florida.”
“说这是一场浪潮，我认为并不完全准确，”佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯在民主党赢得国会控制权后的第二天早上说。“这相当于一场政治上的陨石撞击，席卷了整个美国——蓝州、红州，以及两者之间的一切。而唯一能够守住阵线、抵御住这场冲击的州，就在我们这里，自由的佛罗里达州。”
Indeed, even as Democrats popped champagne(开香槟庆祝) in states that had once been deep crimson(深红色), Republicans in Florida were elected to all open statewide offices. They held their congressional seats and retained control of both legislative chambers. They were not immune to Mr Trump’s unpopularity—they lost their supermajority(绝对多数) in the legislature and, compared with 2024, Florida swung 10.2 percentage points to the left(向左摆了10.2个百分点). But that was less than the national average of 15 points, and far below swings of 20 points or more in Texas, Georgia, South Carolina and Mississippi, where Democrats flipped(翻转（席位）) crucial seats. Florida, long since evolved from being a swing state, is Republicans’ most defiant stronghold(堡垒、据点).
的确，就在民主党人在曾经深红的州开香槟庆祝时，佛罗里达州的共和党人却赢得了所有开放的全州性公职。他们保住了国会席位，并继续控制州议会两院。他们未能免受特朗普不受欢迎的影响——失去了在州议会中的绝对多数优势，且与2024年相比，佛罗里达向左摆了10.2个百分点。但这低于全国平均15个百分点的摆幅，更远低于得克萨斯、佐治亚、南卡罗来纳和密西西比等州20个百分点以上的摆幅——民主党在这些州翻转了关键席位。佛罗里达早已从摇摆州演变而来，如今是共和党人最顽强的堡垒。
There are three main reasons Florida was spared(幸免于) the uprising against Republicans. The first is demographics(人口结构), an advantage that Republicans elsewhere will struggle to mimic(模仿). For six years Florida politicians have advanced policies, from rejecting covid lockdowns to enacting universal school vouchers(全民学校代金券), to make the state a sanctuary(庇护所) for MAGA refugees(MAGA难民). Although Democrats turned out a higher share of their voters(提高了选民投票率) this year, they could not overpower Republicans, who came into the election with 1.5m more registered voters. It helped Republicans that Hispanics, who propelled(推动) swings in other red states, were less keen on(对……不那么热衷) Democrats in Florida. Cubans make up half the state’s Hispanic voters and, unlike Mexicans or Puerto Ricans, have been fused(熔合、紧密相连) to the Republican Party since the days of Ronald Reagan. Exit polls(出口民调) show they moved left but didn’t flip.
佛罗里达得以免遭反共和党起义冲击，主要有三个原因。第一个是人口结构，这是其他地方的共和党人难以模仿的优势。六年来，佛罗里达政客推行了一系列政策——从拒绝新冠封锁到实施全民学校代金券——使该州成为MAGA难民的庇护所。尽管民主党今年提高了选民投票率，但仍无法压倒共和党人——后者在选举前拥有多出150万的登记选民。对共和党有利的另一点是，在其他红州推动摆幅的西班牙裔选民，在佛罗里达对民主党不那么热衷。古巴裔占该州西班牙裔选民的一半，与墨西哥裔或波多黎各裔不同，他们自罗纳德·里根时代起就与共和党紧密相连。出口民调显示他们向左移动，但并未翻转。