Pathbreaking scientific discoveries can create transformational(变革性的，转型的) possibilities. They can also create catastrophic risks. The integration of artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and bioengineering is already enabling life-changing achievements, from combating disease to supercharging agricultural productivity(从对抗疾病到大幅提高农业生产力) to solving energy challenges. But it is also generating capabilities that can be weaponized more easily than ever by a growing number of actors.(但它也在催生比以往任何时候都更容易被越来越多的行为体武器化的能力。) The United States is unprepared for these threats.
突破性的科学发现可以创造变革性的可能性，也可能带来灾难性的风险。人工智能、生物技术和生物工程的融合，已经在实现改变生活的成就，从对抗疾病到大幅提高农业生产力，再到解决能源挑战。但与此同时，它也在催生比以往任何时候都更容易被越来越多的行为体武器化的能力。美国对这些威胁毫无准备。
In the foreseeable(可预见的) future, a terrorist group with minimal skills could access a jailbroken(越狱的（指绕过安全限制）) AI model (one that has evaded safety controls(规避了安全控制)) trained on the world’s most comprehensive biological data set. The group could use the model to design a new strain of H5N1 avian influenza that is more lethal(致命的) and more easily spread from animals to humans than existing strains. Connecting remotely to one of the new generation of fully equipped, contract-for-service “cloud” labs, it could anonymously arrange for the virus to be built and tested and then sent to a biomanufacturing facility to be produced at scale.(通过远程连接新一代设备齐全、按合同服务的“云”实验室，它可以匿名安排病毒被构建和测试，然后送往生物制造设施进行大规模生产。) From there, the group could stealthily(隐秘地，偷偷地) disperse the new strain through air-handling systems at major livestock farms across the United States.
在可预见的未来，一个技能最低限度的恐怖组织就能访问一个越狱的AI模型（即已规避安全控制的模型），该模型基于世界上最全面的生物数据集训练而成。该组织可以利用该模型设计一种新的H5N1禽流感病毒株，比现有毒株更致命、更容易从动物传播给人类。通过远程连接新一代设备齐全、按合同服务的“云”实验室，它可以匿名安排病毒被构建和测试，然后送往生物制造设施进行大规模生产。从那里，该组织可以通过美国各地大型畜牧场的空气处理系统，隐秘地散布这种新毒株。
Before long, the American poultry, beef, and dairy industries would suffer massive losses. When the virus inevitably(不可避免地) jumped to the human population, it would cause severe illness and could result in hundreds of thousands or even millions of deaths. The response from U.S. public and private institutions—lacking both an integrated strategy and adequate tools—would be too slow, too uncoordinated, too underresourced, and too overwhelmed to stop the spread and mitigate the consequences.(美国公共和私营机构的应对——既缺乏综合战略，也缺乏足够工具——将过于缓慢、过于不协调、资源过于不足、过于不堪重负，无法阻止传播和减轻后果。) And soon, the virus would also cross borders, triggering food insecurity, widespread sickness, and mass casualties(伤亡人员) around the world.
不久之后，美国家禽、牛肉和乳制品行业将遭受巨大损失。当病毒不可避免地传播到人类群体时，它将导致严重疾病，并可能造成数十万甚至数百万人死亡。美国公共和私营机构的应对——既缺乏综合战略，也缺乏足够工具——将过于缓慢、过于不协调、资源过于不足、过于不堪重负，无法阻止传播和减轻后果。很快，病毒还会跨越国界，在世界各地引发粮食不安全、大规模疾病和大规模伤亡。
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