Another Ofgem energy price cap day, another increase in bills. Miatta Fahnbulleh, the new energy secretary, can blame the usual culprit(罪魁祸首) on Wednesday – the fossil fuel price “rollercoaster”, given a shove this time by Donald Trump’s Middle East misadventure. Higher gas prices will indeed be the main quarter-on-quarter reason why bills stand at a three-year high on a unit basis.(天然气价格上涨确实是账单单价处于三年高点的季度环比主要原因。)
又一个Ofgem能源价格上限日，又一次账单上涨。新任能源大臣米亚塔·范布尔莱周三可以归咎于惯常的罪魁祸首——化石燃料价格的“过山车”，而这一次，唐纳德·特朗普的中东冒险又推了一把。天然气价格上涨确实是账单单价处于三年高点的季度环比主要原因。
But there is more to the tale(事情不止于此) on a longer view. Even when the gas rollercoaster dips downwards, the energy industry’s medium-term projections(预测，预估) suggest bills will not fall meaningfully(显著地，有意义地).
但从长远来看，事情远不止于此。即使天然气价格过山车向下俯冲，能源行业的中期预测也表明，账单不会大幅下降。
Look at the forecast on Tuesday from EDF, one of the big retail suppliers, assuming “some moderation(缓和，适度)” in wholesale prices. Top line(核心信息，概要): “Bills still look stubbornly(顽固地，难以改变地) high at the end of the decade.” Versus(与……相比) its assumed £1,721 for the price cap for the last three months of 2026, the company projects £1,786 in 2030.
看看法国电力公司（EDF）周二发布的预测——该公司是大型零售供应商之一，其假设批发价格“有所缓和”。核心信息是：“到本十年末，账单仍将居高不下。”相对于其假设的2026年最后三个月价格上限1721英镑，该公司预计2030年将达到1786英镑。