
Donald Trump has found a new way to promise victory over Iran. After months of war have failed to force Iran’s capitulation or collapse, his administration has unveiled what the US Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, calls Operation Economic Outcast: an effort to cut it off from what remains of the global economy and threaten foreign governments, banks and companies with sanctions if they continue doing business with Tehran.(在数月的战争未能迫使伊朗投降或崩溃之后,他的政府推出了美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特所称的“经济放逐行动”:试图切断伊朗与全球经济剩余部分的联系,并威胁外国政府、银行和公司,如果它们继续与德黑兰做生意,将受到制裁。)
唐纳德·特朗普找到了承诺战胜伊朗的新方式。在数月的战争未能迫使伊朗投降或崩溃之后,他的政府推出了美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特所称的“经济放逐行动”:试图切断伊朗与全球经济剩余部分的联系,并威胁外国政府、银行和公司,如果它们继续与德黑兰做生意,将受到制裁。
There is no question that Iran is vulnerable(脆弱的,易受伤害的). Its economy has been battered(受重创的,被打击的) by years of sanctions, war and a months-long US naval blockade. Iranian officials acknowledge that oil exports and access to(获得……的途径) foreign currency have been severely constrained(受限制的,被约束的). Ordinary Iranians are already enduring high inflation, currency depreciation and worsening living standards. Further economic strangulation(扼杀,勒死) will inflict(造成(伤害等)) significant additional hardship.
毫无疑问,伊朗是脆弱的。其经济多年来受到制裁、战争和美国长达数月的海上封锁的打击。伊朗官员承认,石油出口和获取外币的渠道受到严重限制。普通伊朗人已经在忍受高通胀、货币贬值和日益恶化的生活水平。进一步的经济扼杀将造成额外的重大苦难。
Iran also wants an end to the war. Its president, Masoud Pezeshkian, has said it should seek peace while it can still negotiate from a position of “power and dignity”. But Iran needing a deal is not the same as Iran preparing to surrender. That distinction has repeatedly eluded(使……无法理解,避开) Trump in formulating his Iran policy: ramping up(加大,增加) pressure is not the same as having a strategy. Iran gets a move(走一步棋,采取行动) too.
伊朗也希望结束战争。其总统马苏德·佩泽什基安曾表示,伊朗应该在仍能凭借“实力和尊严”进行谈判时寻求和平。但伊朗需要达成协议不等于伊朗准备投降。这一区别在特朗普制定伊朗政策时一再被他忽视:加大压力不等于拥有战略。伊朗也有一步棋要走。