How hot will it get in your nearest city tomorrow? How quickly will the planet’s ice melt and its corals die off? How many huge, costly climate disasters will hit this year? If you’re inclined to do so, you can now place online bets on how the weather and the broader, longer-term climate crisis will play out.(如果你有意为之，现在就可以在网上就天气以及更广泛、更长期的气候危机将如何演变下注。)
明天你所在的城市会有多热？地球的冰川会以多快的速度融化，珊瑚又会以多快的速度消亡？今年将有多少场代价高昂的巨大气候灾难？如果你有意为之，现在就可以在网上就天气以及更广泛、更长期的气候危机将如何演变下注。
In the US, big online prediction markets(预测市场) like Kalshi and Polymarket are considering a new area of growth beyond mere sport and crypto: the climate itself. Kalshi recently reported 500% growth in weather and climate wagers over the past year, taking the market to a $1.1bn, and is now partnering with the Weather Company, which owns the Weather Channel, to boost its credibility in this new arena.(Kalshi最近报告称，过去一年天气和气候投注增长了500%，使该市场规模达到11亿美元，并正与拥有天气频道的天气公司合作，以提升其在这一新领域的可信度。)
在美国，像Kalshi和Polymarket这样的大型在线预测市场正在考虑在体育和加密货币之外开辟新的增长领域：气候本身。Kalshi最近报告称，过去一年天气和气候投注增长了500%，使该市场规模达到11亿美元，并正与拥有天气频道的天气公司合作，以提升其在这一新领域的可信度。
What does this mean for our ability to predict the future of our climate? More, after this week’s most important reads(在本周最重要的必读文章之后).
这对我们预测未来气候的能力意味着什么？更多内容，请见本周最重要的必读文章。
Essential reads
必读文章
In focus
焦点