
UK spy chiefs warned government ministers of the catastrophic impacts on national security from the collapse of vital ecosystems around the world, driven by the climate crisis and the overexploitation(过度开发) of nature. But their report, which was supposed to be published almost a year ago, was suppressed under Keir Starmer.(但这份原定于近一年前发布的报告,在基尔·斯塔默任内遭到压制。) Now the government is briefing foreign ministers from other countries on the findings, with a view to(以期,为了) gathering global support for more concerted action(协调一致的行动) on the risks.
英国情报机构负责人曾警告政府部长们,气候危机和对自然的过度开发导致全球关键生态系统崩溃,将对国家安全造成灾难性影响。但这份原定于近一年前发布的报告,在基尔·斯塔默任内遭到压制。如今,政府正向其他国家的外长通报报告发现,以期凝聚全球支持,对相关风险采取更协调一致的行动。
What is the report?
这份报告是什么?
In the first report of its kind, the UK’s spy chiefs set out stark(严酷的,严峻的) warnings of the catastrophic(灾难性的) risks to the UK from the collapse of vital ecosystems around the world, driven by the climate crisis and our failures to protect nature. The Guardian has seen part of the report and has spoken to a large number of people familiar with its contents, which warn of food shortages, conflicts, mass migration and other threats to the UK’s national security, including going as far as the risk of nuclear war or the breakdown of society.(《卫报》看到了报告的部分内容,并与大量熟悉报告内容的人士交谈。报告警告称,粮食短缺、冲突、大规模移民以及其他威胁英国国家安全的因素,甚至包括核战争或社会崩溃的风险。) These threats are not regarded as some far-off(遥远的) or remote contingency(意外事件,可能性): disastrous impacts, for instance on the UK’s food supply, could be expected as soon as 2030, it warns.
在这份同类报告中的首份报告里,英国情报机构负责人发出了严厉警告:气候危机和我们未能保护自然,导致全球关键生态系统崩溃,将给英国带来灾难性风险。《卫报》看到了报告的部分内容,并与大量熟悉报告内容的人士交谈。报告警告称,粮食短缺、冲突、大规模移民以及其他威胁英国国家安全的因素,甚至包括核战争或社会崩溃的风险。这些威胁并非被视为遥远或小概率的突发事件:报告警告说,灾难性影响,例如对英国粮食供应的冲击,最早可能在2030年就会出现。
What did they find?
他们发现了什么?
The report, which was originally commissioned under the previous Tory government, looked at the potential consequences of a range of scenarios such as the collapse of the Amazon rainforest, which scientists have warned could be close to switching from a rainforest to a savannah-like system under the impact of heating and deforestation.(这份报告最初由前保守党政府委托撰写,研究了一系列情景的潜在后果,例如亚马逊雨林崩溃——科学家警告说,在升温和森林砍伐的影响下,亚马逊可能接近从雨林转变为稀树草原。) The authors found these could result in food shortages in the UK, which imports about 40% of its food. The report also reviewed the development of new pandemics from areas deforested and overexploited, border disputes among countries affected by the climate crisis, increased Russian and Chinese influence over critical mineral supply chains, and civil tensions within the UK as these impacts play out.(报告还审视了森林砍伐和过度开发地区新流行病的出现、受气候危机影响国家之间的边界争端、俄罗斯和中国对关键矿产供应链影响力的增强,以及这些影响在英国国内引发的社会紧张。)
这份报告最初由前保守党政府委托撰写,研究了一系列情景的潜在后果,例如亚马逊雨林崩溃——科学家警告说,在升温和森林砍伐的影响下,亚马逊可能接近从雨林转变为稀树草原。作者发现,这些情景可能导致英国粮食短缺,而英国约40%的粮食依赖进口。报告还审视了森林砍伐和过度开发地区新流行病的出现、受气候危机影响国家之间的边界争端、俄罗斯和中国对关键矿产供应链影响力的增强,以及这些影响在英国国内引发的社会紧张。
How was the report suppressed?
报告是如何被压制的?
We’ve been reading for years about the impacts of the climate and biodiversity crises – what is different about this?
多年来我们一直在读气候和生物多样性危机的影响——这份报告有何不同?
What has the government done about these risks?
政府对这些风险做了什么?
What has he done?
他做了什么?
What impact will this have?
这将产生什么影响?